Interesting graphs , jack
They really are. Also a little comforting. When people talk of covid deaths, it's generally in raw numbers or cumulative stats, which are large quantities that simply don't stop growing, thus giving no one a perspective of what's happening right now. While several countries only have records through June, it does appear at this time countries generally are no longer experiencing alarming amounts of excess deaths. It was also interesting to see the impact in the US after reopening. It's a shame the data set isn't larger to include more countries, but single sources for excess mortality aren't a common thing. That could change since now circumstances make it worth looking. If a better one comes along later, will try to think to post it.
Excess death statistics are usually compiled just over a year in the past to allow for the next years seasonal figures to be factored in. Even having these figures for July - two months ago - is a bit of a fudge. The numbers will no doubt be revised as time goes on.
We won't be able to see truly accurate statistics until this shit is over.
ummm....but suppsing the pandemic lasts through nxct year, and especially if the virus mutates and we get an even more lethal second wave, then this years' excess death figures will be skewed towards the new normal, won't they? and look better than they actually are. Ihat's gonna happen to some extent anyway. I mean this years 'results will skew themselves, when used to recalculate the mean, so we'll see a totally meaningless retrospective flattening out of the graph.
More accurate, you say? I don't get it. Inasmuch as new data comes in that isn't availabe right now, then it will be more accurate. But inasmuch as we want to compare post-Covid-19 deaths with pre-covid normal (what else?) then the graphs won't be be more accurate, but rather misleading.